This week’s report takes an early look at the first wide release currently scheduled for March: A Madea Family Funeral. While Lionsgate still has Chaos Walking slated for the March 1 weekend as well, we expect a release delay to be announced soon as the film remains in production.
Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral
Opening Weekend Range: $23 – 30 million
PROS:
- Tyler Perry’s loyal fan base is expected to return for what the actor/filmmaker has promised will be the final Madea movie, a series which has earned an impressive $496.5 million domestically across eight films dating back to 2005.
- Positioned nearly one month after What Men Want, the film has enough breathing room to build significant interest as the next major comedy to be driven by a similar audience.
- Early Trailer Impact metrics are encouragingly ahead of Night School at the same point before release.
CONS:
- Front-loading is likely given the built-in fan audience, while opening two weeks before Jordan Peele’s Us could hinder staying power on some level.
8-Week Tracking
| Release Date | Title | 3-Day Wide Release Tracking | % Chg from Last Week | Domestic Total Forecast | % Chg from Last Week | Estimated Location Count | Distributor |
| 1/11/2019 | A Dog’s Way Home | $13,000,000 | 8% | $44,000,000 | 10% | 3,000 | Sony / Columbia |
| 1/11/2019 | On the Basis of Sex (Expansion) | n/a | n/a | 2,000 | Focus Features | ||
| 1/11/2019 | Replicas | $3,500,000 | NEW | $7,500,000 | NEW | 2,700 | Entertainment Studios |
| 1/11/2019 | The Upside | $12,000,000 | -8% | $36,000,000 | -8% | 3,000 | STX |
| 1/18/2019 | Glass | $67,000,000 | $180,000,000 | 3,700 | Universal | ||
| 1/25/2019 | The Kid Who Would Be King | $10,000,000 | -33% | $40,000,000 | -20% | Fox | |
| 1/25/2019 | Serenity (2019) | $7,000,000 | -30% | $21,000,000 | -30% | Aviron | |
| 2/1/2019 | Miss Bala | $10,000,000 | $28,000,000 | Sony / Columbia | |||
| 2/8/2019 | Cold Pursuit | $13,000,000 | $40,000,000 | Lionsgate / Summit | |||
| 2/8/2019 | The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part | $60,000,000 | $213,000,000 | Warner Bros. | |||
| 2/8/2019 | The Prodigy | n/a | n/a | Orion Pictures | |||
| 2/8/2019 | What Men Want | $25,000,000 | $63,000,000 | Paramount | |||
| 2/13/2019 | Isn’t It Romantic | $14,000,000 | $54,000,000 | Warner Bros. | |||
| 2/14/2019 | Alita: Battle Angel | $14,500,000 | $41,000,000 | Fox | |||
| 2/14/2019 | Fighting with My Family | n/a | n/a | MGM | |||
| 2/14/2019 | Happy Death Day 2U | $24,000,000 | $52,000,000 | Universal | |||
| 2/22/2019 | How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World | $44,000,000 | $155,000,000 | Universal | |||
| 2/22/2019 | Rhythm Section | n/a | n/a | Paramount | |||
| 2/22/2019 | The Turning | n/a | n/a | Universal / Amblin | |||
| 3/1/2019 | Chaos Walking | n/a | n/a | Lionsgate | |||
| 3/1/2019 | Greta | n/a | n/a | Focus Features | |||
| 3/1/2019 | Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral | $27,000,000 | NEW | $68,000,000 | NEW | Lionsgate |
Tracking and forecasts are subject to change each week as marketing, reviews, and other factors are taken into consideration.
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