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Monday, May 31, 2021

5 WEEKEND BOX OFFICE TAKEAWAYS: A Quiet Place Part II, Cruella, Spiral

#1: Theatrical exclusivity is key

What accounts for the discrepancy in earnings between Memorial Day weekend’s two major theatrical debuts? Theatrical exclusivity.

Paramount’s science-fiction horror sequel A Quiet Place Part II played exclusively in cinemas, where it will remain for 45 days before moving to Paramount+. Meanwhile, this weekend’s other major debut, Cruella, opened day-and-date in both theaters and for a $30 surcharge for Disney+ subscribers.

Quiet‘s estimated $57.0M four-day opening, when including Memorial Day Monday, was actually +4.8% above its predecessor’s $54.3M four-day take.

[Read Boxoffice PRO‘s interview with A Quiet Place Part II sound editors Erik Aadahl and Ethan van der Ryn here.]

On the other hand, Cruella‘s estimated $26.5M four-day debut came in -32.3 percent behind the similar Disney villain-themed Maleficent: Mistress of Evil‘s $39.1M four-day haul.

Even 1996’s similar Cruella De Vil-themed live action 101 Dalmatians began with a $33.5M three-day opening, larger than Cruella‘s four-day opening despite being fewer days and coming out 25 years ago.

#2: Paramount is back

Of the so-called “five major studios,” Paramount was the only one not to have released any true tentpole titles in cinemas since the pandemic.

Paramount’s only other theatrical release in 2021 had been a re-release of 1986’s Top Gun, to help build anticipation for November’s sequel Top Gun: Maverick. That re-release had earned less a million dollars so far, as had their October 2020 horror Spell, their November 2020 action comedy Buddy Games, and their December 2020 recut version of 1990’s The Godfather Part III titled Mario Puzo’s The Godfather: Coda.

Two other Paramount releases, August 2020’s animated The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge on the Run and October 2020’s adventure Love and Monsters, fared a bit better but still earned less than $5 million each.

Now, within a single weekend, Paramount’s 2021 theatrical total of $57.4M already eclipses one of the other big five studios: Sony with $28.4M. Paramount will also overtake Universal’s $62.4M year-to-date total within the week, and Disney’s $77.9M not long after. (Warner Bros., leading with $273.2M for the year so far, remains too far away to catch for now.)

#3: The largest overall weekend since the pandemic

The weekend’s total box office stands at an estimated $80.1M for the three-day and $98.5M for the four-day.

Even looking at the smaller three-day number, for an apples-to-apples comparison with most other weekends, that $80.1M represents the largest frame since the pandemic hit. It eclipses the $57.0M earned during the April 23-25 weekend, when Mortal Kombat and Demon Slayer the Movie: Mugen Train both debuted.

This most recent frame also marks only the second weekend during the recovery to outearn the $53.7M of March 13-15, 2020, the “partially shut down” final weekend before cinemas completely shuttered nationwide.

#4: The first sequel to best its predecessor during the recovery

Sequels are the lifeblood of modern Hollywood. While several have debuted theatrically since the pandemic, A Quiet Place Part II is the first to beat its predecessor on such a key metric as opening weekend.

Godzilla vs. Kong has made more money than any other film since the pandemic, with $98.3M and counting. Still, it fell a bit below both its predecessors, Godzilla: King of the Monsters with $110.5M and Kong: Skull Island with $168.0M.

Wonder Woman 1984‘s $46.5M total was about one-ninth of the original Wonder Woman‘s $412.5M, although the former debuting day-and-date simultaneously in both theaters and on HBO Max didn’t help its theatrical gross.

The Croods: A New Age has earned $58.2M, just less than one-third of the original The Croods with $187.1M.

While it remains to be seen whether A Quiet Place Part II will outearn its predecessor in total, its superior four-day opening marks the first such “better than its predecessor” statistic of its kind during the recovery.

#5: Spiral is holding up surprisingly well

For the prior two weekends, the top movie at the box office had been Lionsgate’s horror Spiral, starring Chris Rock and Samuel L. Jackson in a spinoff of the long-running Saw franchise. With another massive new horror movie opening this weekend, surely that would hurt Spiral considerably.

Think again. After declining a mild -47.4 percent in its sophomore frame, Spiral only suffered a mild drop again, taking third place with an estimated $2.2M three-day and $2.7M four-day weekend. For the three-day figure, that represents only a -50.4 percent decline.

Among the nine installments in the Saw franchise, that ranks in the upper half by third-weekend hold. Keep in mind that most of those other installments suffered larger third-weekend drops despite not competing against a fellow horror release.

Film Year 3rd weekend drop
Saw 2004 -41.9%
Saw II 2005 -45.8%
Jigsaw 2017 -47.7%
Spiral 2021 -50.4%
Saw IV 2007 -52.1%
Saw III 2006 -52.8%
Saw V 2008 -58.2%
Saw VI 2009 -61.4%
Saw 3D 2010 -62.9%

 


The post 5 WEEKEND BOX OFFICE TAKEAWAYS: <em>A Quiet Place Part II</em>, <em>Cruella</em>, <em>Spiral</em> appeared first on Boxoffice.



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Sunday, May 30, 2021

WEEKEND ESTIMATES: A Quiet Place Part II Sets Pandemic Record in Domestic Debut , Cruella Finishes Second with $20M+ Bow

The summer movie season is here, welcoming mass audiences back to the movies and launching a recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic for the domestic box office. 

The weekend’s debut of Paramount’s A Quiet Place Part II and Disney’s Cruella introduced the most important milemarker for the domestic recovery effort since Tenet’s release in September 2020. This time around, however, the results are significantly more upbeat. 

The domestic launch of A Quiet Place Part II set a new pandemic benchmark with an estimated $48.3 million three-day haul from 3,726 screens. The four-day figure, which spans the length of the Memorial Day weekend, is estimated to come in at $58.5 million. The film recorded the highest domestic debut for IMAX since January 2020 with an estimated $4.1 million three-day and $5 million four-day contribution from the premium format. 

The tally represents the biggest opening weekend of the pandemic by a considerable margin, eclipsing Warner Bros.’ Godzilla vs. Kong three-day bow of $31.6 million, four-day take of $34.1 million, and six-day opening week haul of $50.2 million from 3,064 screens. Paramount’s A Quiet Place Part II is playing exclusively at cinemas for a 45-day period, whereas Godzilla vs. Kong opened simultaneously on HBO Max at no additional cost to subscribers.

A Quiet Place Part II’s domestic debut came in just 3 percent shy of its predecessor’s opening numbers: A Quiet Place launched to $50.2 million from 3,508 screens over a three-day frame in April 2018. The sequel is expected to overtake the original’s $54.3 million haul over the first four days of release. 

In second place, Disney’s Cruella is estimated to finish its three-day domestic debut with $21.3 million from 3,892 locations. The four-day holiday weekend figure is tracking to come in at $26.5 million. The studio is reporting an A CinemaScore for Cruella with audience demographics leaning 64 percent female and a 4.5 out of 5 star rating from ComScore PostTrack polling. 

Cruella’s box office was undoubtedly impacted by the studio’s decision to release the film simultaneously on its streaming platform, Disney+, as a premium rental. The weekend result is a considerable improvement over Disney’s previous day-and-date PVOD release during the pandemic, Raya and the Last Dragon. That title opened to $8.5 million from 2,045 screens in March, a disappointing result exacerbated by the decision by several top circuits to pass on the film.

Cruella opened on par with Disney’s lowest-performing live action adaptation from recent years, 2016’s Pete’s Dragon. That film opened to $21.5 million from 3,70s screens en route to reaching $76.2 million in its domestic run. On a wider scale, Cruella opened below Disney’s prior live action iteration of the series, 1996’s 101 Dalmatians, which premiered to $33.5 million from 2,794 screens en route to a $136 million domestic run. It is performing on par with that title’s sequel, 102 Dalmatians, which opened to $19.8 million in the year 200 and ended its run at $66.9 million. 

Cruella added $16.9 million from 29 overseas markets to hit a $37 million three-day debut. Mexico led the international roll-out with a $2.6 million first place finish, taking nearly two-thirds of the weekend’s market share and registering the country’s second biggest pandemic debut behind Godzilla vs. Kong. Other top markets include South Korea ($2.5M), the UK ($2.2M), and Australia ($1.3M). As is the case in the United States, Cruella is available as a PVOD rental in markets where Disney+ is available. The film will expand to China, Russia, Greece, Israel, Slovakia, Netherlands and Chile next weekend. 

Cruella faced stiff competition from Universal’s F9 in overlapping markets, finishing behind the action movie in South Korea, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. Despite coming out on top in those markets, F9’s overseas momentum slowed significantly from last week’s strong debut due to an 85 percent drop over its sophomore frame in China. F9 earned $20.7 million from 11,112 locations in China, lifting its running total in the country to $185.3 million. 

None of the other 7 markets where F9 is currently in release experienced as steep a drop. The film’s second weekend brought in $3.7 million from South Korea (-42%, $15.2M total), $2.8 million Russia (-59%, $13.3M total), $1.4M from Saudi Arabia (-46%, $5.4M total), and $1 million from the United Arab Emirates (-62%, $4.2M total). F9’s next major market is Australia, where it is scheduled to open on June 17. 

Warner Bros. opened The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It in two overseas markets this weekend, including a $3.8 million first place finish from 975 screens in the United Kingdom. Sony/Columbia’s Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway dropped to second place in its sophomore frame in the UK. The family title earned $3.2 million from UK theaters, reaching a market cume of $10.8 million. The film added $4.6 million from an additional 11 markets to hit $36.8 million worldwide ahead of its June 11 debut in North America. 


Studio 3-Day Weekend Estimates: May 28-30, 2021

Title Estimated weekend % change Locations Location change Average Total Weekend Distributor
A Quiet Place: Part II $48,380,000   3,726   $12,984 $48,380,000 1 Paramount
Cruella $21,300,000   3,892   $5,473 $21,300,000 1 Walt Disney
Spiral $2,275,000 -50% 2,641 -350 $861 $19,782,163 3 Lionsgate
Wrath of Man $2,100,000 -29% 2,607 -400 $805 $22,107,737 4 United Artists
Raya and the Last Dragon $1,990,000 19% 2,015 -360 $988 $50,855,365 13 Walt Disney
Godzilla vs. Kong $852,000 -39% 1,815 -737 $469 $98,302,000 9 Warner Bros.
Dream Horse $652,373 -18% 1,283 29 $508 $1,737,991 2 Bleecker Street
Those Who Wish Me Dead $545,000 -72% 1,805 -1,574 $302 $6,821,000 3 Warner Bros.
Mortal Kombat $260,000 -72% 960 -1,426 $271 $41,851,000 6 Warner Bros.
Nobody $106,000 -66% 666 -798 $159 $25,971,130 10 Universal
The Dry $65,000 -46% 126 -60 $516 $227,809 2 IFC Films
Final Account $63,000 -55% 308 n/c $205 $258,930 2 Focus Features
The Croods: A New Age $61,000 -58% 926 -128 $66 $58,296,960 27 Universal
New Order $55,000 -62% 186 -50 $296 $265,026 2 Neon
Together Together $6,666 -65% 27 -56 $247 $1,415,377 6 Bleecker Street
The Djinn $6,000 -86% 21 -23 $286 $116,908 3 IFC Midnight
The Killing of Two Lovers $5,500 -66% 22 -14 $250 $62,975 3 Neon

The post WEEKEND ESTIMATES: <EM>A Quiet Place Part II</EM> Sets Pandemic Record in Domestic Debut , <Em>Cruella</Em> Finishes Second with $20M+ Bow appeared first on Boxoffice.



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A Quiet Place Part II Scores Highest Domestic Opening Weekend of the Pandemic, on Track to Surpass Original’s 4-Day Debut

The domestic box office just hit another major milestone in its recovery with the debut of Paramount’s A Quiet Place Part II. The sequel opened to $48.3 million from 3,726 screens, according to the studio’s three-day estimates. The four-day figure, which spans the length of the Memorial Day weekend, is estimated to come in at $58.5 million.

The tally represents the biggest opening weekend of the pandemic by a considerable margin, eclipsing Warner Bros.’ Godzilla vs. Kong three-day bow of $31.6 million, four-day take of $34.1 million, and six-day opening week haul of $50.2 million from 3,064 screens. Paramount’s A Quiet Place Part II is playing exclusively at cinemas for a 45-day period, whereas Godzilla vs. Kong opened simultaneously on HBO Max at no additional cost to subscribers.

A Quiet Place Part II’s opening weekend numbers came in just 3 percent shy of its predecessor’s debut. A Quiet Place opened to $50.2 million from 3,508 screens over a three-day frame in April 2018. The sequel is expected to overtake the original’s $54.3 million haul over the first four days of release.

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Saturday, May 29, 2021

Early Weekend Estimates: A Quiet Place Part IISmashes Pandemic Records with $19.3M Friday, Eyeing $55-60M+ 4-Day Holiday Frame; Cruella Healthy at $25M 4-Day

Summer box office is back.

Paramount reports this morning that A Quiet Place Part II thrilled domestic audiences to the tune of $19.3 million on opening day Friday, including Thursday night’s $4.8 million preview grosses, from 3,726 North American cinemas.

That figure blows away the previous pandemic era record for an opening or single day gross, formerly held by Godzilla vs. Kong‘s $9.7 million opening day (a Wednesday) and $12.7 million on the Saturday of its debut weekend.

Perhaps just as impressive is the fact that this highly anticipated and well-reviewed sequel bested the $18.86 million opening day of its 2018 predecessor, A Quiet Place. That film went on to earn $50.2 million for its traditional three-day opening weekend.

Part II‘s opening day, and eventual weekend figures, are also locked to set new all-time regards for the horror genre on Memorial Day weekend (previously held by 2015’s Poltergeist remake, which earned $26.3 million over four days).

Where projections go from here remains a bit of a guessing game in this supposedly new climate of moviegoing habits during the vaccine era of the pandemic, but in some ways, box office trends aren’t deviating far from what we’re used to seeing (yet). One variable that remains is how, if at all, front-loading will increase for films — particularly sequels to brands with built-in audiences. Given the popularity of the first Quiet Place and strong promotion for this sequel dating back over 14 months ago, Part II fits the bill of a film that had a strong rush-out factor.

Even still, Friday’s figure comes in at the high end of bullish expectations and far above most others. Paramount is estimating a three-day haul of $47.52 million and a four-day at $57.41 million. Those are reasonable figures if Saturday, Sunday, and Monday’s declines trend sharper than pre-pandemic comparisons dictate.

However, the film’s strong reception and initial Thursday-to-Friday ratios are very encouraging with Friday representing 4.02 times its Thursday haul — not far behind the 4.39 multiple of the first film’s opening day-to-Thursday night ($4.3 million).

With that and holiday weekend factors in mind, not to mention any potential momentum gained by word of mouth on the film and theatrical re-openings at-large, our internal projections are a little more bullish with the three-day trending north of $50 million and the four-day showing significant potential to reach or slightly exceed $60 million.

The latter would essentially be in line with pre-pandemic forecasts for the sequel prior to its March 2020 delay. Regardless, this is a massively positive result that shows the power of moviegoing is still strong after a year-long absence from daily life.

Cruella Also Welcoming Back Audiences

Meanwhile, Disney’s second domestic release of the pandemic era is faring well enough in its hybrid release this weekend. Cruella pulled $7.7 million on opening day Friday, including Thursday night’s $1.4 million previews.

There are no true comparisons here given the simultaneous release in theaters and as a premium streaming option for an extra $30 to Disney+ subscribers.

That being said, Cruella‘s first day ranks only behind Quiet Place Part II, Godzilla vs. Kong, Mortal Kombat, and Demon Slayer among the top opening days of the pandemic. All of those catered to different audiences, and the release strategies were unique across the board. For a more traditional comp, Maleficent: MIstress of Evil bowed to $12.55 million on opening day in October 2019 when it was exclusive to theaters.

Disney isn’t providing weekend projections until Sunday morning at the earliest, however, internal models suggest the live-action prequel should clear $21 million for the three-day haul and $26 million for the four-day.

Regardless of the final numbers, this weekend will easily surpass the cumulative box office of any previous frame during the pandemic. In total, the top ten films over the long holiday weekend have potential to reach $100 million for the first time in nearly 16 months.

The post Early Weekend Estimates: <em>A Quiet Place Part II</em>Smashes Pandemic Records with $19.3M Friday, Eyeing $55-60M+ 4-Day Holiday Frame; <em>Cruella</em> Healthy at $25M 4-Day appeared first on Boxoffice.



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Friday, May 28, 2021

Christie Technology to be Used in BAFTA’s Redesigned London Headquarters

The British Academy of Film and Television Arts (BAFTA) selected Christie this week as a technology partner for their redeveloped London headquarters, slated to open to the public in early 2022.

According to a company press release, the technology will include:

  • A 1.2 x 2.7 meter (3.9 ft x 8.8 ft) Christie MicroTiles® LED video wall that will welcome visitors with content at the reception entrance.
  • The Ray Dolby Room foyer will be fitted with two video walls and a floor-to-ceiling projection display using 1DLP® laser projectors, Christie Pandoras Box Server and Christie Mystique Premium Edition, a multi-camera automated warping and blending tool for stacking and edge-blending projection systems.
  • The Shaw Theatre will be powered by a DCI-compliant Christie CP2309-RGB pure laser cinema projector, for screens up to 13 meters (44 feet) wide.
  • Multi-purpose spaces and boardrooms will feature Christie 1DLP® laser projectors and LCD display panels with Christie Pandoras Box Manager and Widget Designer for content management and processing.

“It’s a privilege to partner with a world-leading arts charity with such creative heritage,” Christie’s executive vice president of enterprise Michael Bosworth said in a press release. “We are confident Christie’s technologies can play a role in BAFTA’s efforts to inspire, nurture and develop the next generation of creatives as part of its stunning refurb at 195 Piccadilly.”

“We are so excited to be working with Christie to help bring our redeveloped space at 195 Piccadilly to life,” BAFTA’s executive director of partnerships and fundraising Louise Robertson added. “The state-of-the-art technology Christie provides will give BAFTA some of the resources needed to dramatically expand our learning and talent development programme.”

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Emagine Entertainment Locations to Host Summer Kids Series for $3 a Ticket

Starting June 4, Emagine Theatres will show 21st century animated favorites on the big screen for $3 per ticket, with titles including:

  • The Secret Life of Pets from June 4-10
  • Sing from June 11-17
  • Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron from June 18-24
  • Madagascar from June 25 to July 1
  • Kung Fu Panda from July 2-8
  • Trolls: World Tour from July 9-15
  • Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch from July 16-22
  • How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World from July 23-29
  • Minions from July 30 to August 5

For $6.75, patrons can upgrade to the “magic pack” with popcorn and a small drink.

To buy tickets, visit here.

Emagine Entertainment ranked as North America’s #20 largest exhibition circuit in Boxoffice PRO‘s Giants of Exhibition 2021, with 225 screens at 21 locations.  

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CinemaCon Unveils Initial Lineup of Participating Studios for 2021 Event

CinemaCon, the annual convention organized by the National Association of Theatre Owners, unveiled an early look at the studios and distributors confirmed to participate at this year’s event.

Focus Features, Lionsgate, MGM/UAR, Paramount Pictures, Sony Pictures Releasing, Universal, the Walt Disney Company, and Warner Bros. Pictures all feature among the first batch of companies committed to presentations or screenings at the world’s largest convention for the movie theater industry. Further details about the event, including convention programming, award winners, and additional studios and distributors set to participate, is expected to be announced in the coming months.

CinemaCon will be making its return to Caesars Palace in Las Vegas from August 23-26 after having to cancel the 2020 edition due to the Covid-19 pandemic. This year’s edition, originally scheduled for April 2021, will be held in late August for the first time in its history after having to reschedule because of the pandemic.

Registration for CinemaCon 2021 is now open on its official website.

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Thursday, May 27, 2021

Weekend Box Office Forecast: A Quiet Place Part II and Cruella Usher In Next Phase of Theatrical Recovery as Summer Movie Season Returns

Summer movie season is officially back this Memorial Day weekend.

The long, and seemingly interminable, road toward the next phase of box office recovery is finally at the feet of an industry which has worked tirelessly over the past 14 months to wage the pandemic war and safely welcome audiences back to movie theaters.

For the first time during the COVID-19 vaccine era, a major studio tentpole will release exclusively in theaters: Paramount’s A Quiet Place Part II. It represents just the second major tentpole (after last August’s Tenet) to release exclusively in theaters throughout the entire pandemic. Also occurring for just the second time since March 2020, Disney will release a film — Cruella — in domestic theaters, duplicating the hybrid day-and-date strategy employed for this spring’s Raya and the Last Dragon.

The symbolism of this inflection point will likely outweigh any box office numbers that come to pass in the days ahead, but there is a growing optimism that the numbers themselves will soar to new heights for the pandemic and build on the momentum generated throughout the past few months. Exhibition’s rebound has substantially improved thanks to the reopening of major regional markets, more than 70 percent of theaters resuming operations, successful vaccine distributions reaching half the United States’ adult population, and an increasing of volume of big screen content.

There is something full-circle about the headlining release of this coming weekend, a frame which is typically regarded as one of the busiest moviegoing weekends of any year. It’s also a former mile-marker on the calendar for when summer movie season used to begin prior to the expanded blockbuster release strategies of films like Spider-Man, The Mummy Returns, and Gladiator in the early 2000s. A Quiet Place Part II was one the earliest victims of pandemic-induced delays last year, just weeks away from a spring 2020 release before the world had to shut down. Box office tracking was strong, reviews enthusiastic, and pre-sales had even begun.

The same is true once again.

Writer/Director John Krasinski’s follow-up to the 2018 breakout hit is setting itself up as the kind of thrilling escapist fare designed for the shared audience experience moviegoers have longingly missed for the past year. The most recent final trailer has generated more than 10.5 million YouTube views in three weeks’ time, while steady drips of studio marketing have helped execute an effective social media campaign that has drummed up buzzy interest in the film once again.

Promotion ahead of the Oscars and during the MTV Movie & TV Awards were also sights for sore eyes among those waiting for Hollywood to begin advertising big releases to important demographics again. There’s a tangible feeling that this will be one of the zeitgeist-tappers looked back upon in the history books as one of the movies that resurrected cinemas in a COVID-19 world.

The anticipated sequel will run in theaters exclusively before becoming available to Paramount+ streaming subscribers 45 days after release.

To date, recent films in the domestic marketplace have been achieving roughly 65 to 75 percent of what our pre-pandemic models suggested they would earn on opening weekend, all things being equal and normal. That trend was present before Regal’s last major re-opening round took effect last weekend. Varying restrictions and seating capacities across the country remain challenging factors to weigh in all forecasts, but the trendline is moving in the right direction from just five months ago when the few mid-to-high profile movies actually opening in theaters were performing at less than 15 percent of their expected potential.

A recent NRG survey also backs up the improving sentiment, citing 70 percent of those asked are comfortable returning to movie theaters right now. Fandango additionally engaged in a poll of its own users, revealing 93 percent of those who have already returned have been satisfied with their experience and the health measurements put into practice by exhibitors.

As mask mandates are retired for the vaccinated and capacity limits actively improve or expire completely, the sentiment among many is that life is returning to some semblance of normalcy. The pandemic isn’t over, and many cinemas in Canada — as well as key international markets — remain behind the recovery curve for the moment, but a significant majority of the United States population is resuming pre-pandemic activities like going to sporting events, restaurants, concerts, and now, movie theaters.

So, what happens next?

The original Quiet Place was a runaway hit just over three years ago, bowing to $50.2 million on opening weekend in North America before legging out to a stellar $188 million (and $341 million overall worldwide) — all on a reported budget of just $17 million before marketing expenses. It’s easy to forget now, but at the time, that first frame represented the best debut ever for an original horror movie not based on a pre-existing property (surpassed only by Jordan Peele’s Us when it debuted to $71.1 million in March 2019).

Hitting those kinds of numbers in the current climate seemed impossible just a few months ago, before Godzilla vs. Kong broke the pandemic mold to achieve $48 million in its first five days. That preceded late April’s dueling R-rated combo of Mortal Kombat and Demon Slayer, which combined for more than $44 million in one weekend last month. Even in that time frame, things have changed, and A Quiet Place Part II seems destined to rival such numbers. Pre-sale trends for the sequel are nearing or out-pacing all three of those films across multiple projection models, with current forecasts leaning toward around $4 million — or potentially more — for Thursday night’s shows alone.

The other half of this weekend’s new release duo is playing by a different set of rules, though. Disney’s live-action 101 Dalmatians prequel, Cruella, is gearing up for an aforementioned hybrid release in theaters and as a $30 premium streaming option to Disney+ subscribers. This experiment has only been attempted once by Disney so far with Raya, which bowed to a lukewarm $8.5 million at the box office nearly three months ago, but has gone on to a strong 5.7 multiple as it nears a $50 million domestic total currently.

Cruella, like all movies releasing today versus three months ago, enters a far more friendly environment with increased theatrical market share and consumer confidence. Pre-sales are fair at this stage, but the crime-comedy film is targeting a slightly different audience that the typical Disney revival — namely, adults. That’s in contrast to more family-driven, fantastical fare like The Lion King, Beauty and the Beast, Cinderella, and Aladdin — which, appropriately, opened on Memorial Day weekend exactly two years ago.

Social media activity for Cruella has seen an uptick as the review embargo came down and much praise awarded to Emma Stone’s leading turn as the anti-heroine, and the official YouTube trailer has garnered over 13 million views in three-plus months. Pre-sale activity is trailing that of A Quiet Place Part II by multiples, although that’s to be expected under the circumstances. Preview grosses are hoping to reach $1 million on Thursday night based on current models, though there is no truly reliable comparison at this point in time.

The biggest variable for Cruella will come down to how many target viewers opt to watch the film at home rather than visit a movie theater. Secondarily, walk-up business — something that historically plays out very well for the entire box office market during a big holiday weekend — will be a key component if the film is to hit or exceed current forecasts. The same can be said for A Quiet Place Part II, which has seen a surge in pre-sales during the final days before release (typical for the genre) but is still a sequel with some potential for front-loading.

Looking more broadly, we also have to weigh the possibility that pre-sales will simply begin to account for a larger piece of the weekend pie than they already did before the pandemic as audiences have become increasingly accustomed to — and exhibition further embraced — online ticketing. With socially distanced seating still active in most theaters, the ease of transaction is simply in the favor of advance purchasing.

Of note, Cruella will be screening as part of a double feature with Raya and the Last Dragon at drive-ins across the country during the extended holiday frame. As for other holdovers, expect a sharp decline from Spiral as it faces new competition and loses all premium screens in a double whammy.

A vast array of scenarios are in play this weekend, but all signs are pointing in the right direction for the long-term recovery of moviegoing with two high profile openers set to kick off a regular stream of major studio releases hitting cinemas virtually every weekend throughout the next five months. Even still, caution and moderation in analyzing the eventual performances of these movies are warranted even as excitement grows within the industry.

As a proper summer movie season officially arrives for the first time in two years, however, there is little doubt that the next chapter of moviegoing’s transitional rebound begins now.

This Weekend vs. Last Weekend

Boxoffice projects this three-day weekend’s top ten films will increase between 275 and 350 percent from last weekend’s top ten aggregate of $17.2 million, and between 17 and 44 percent from the current pandemic era record of $55.6 million earned by the top ten during the April 23 through 25 frame when Mortal Kombat and Demon Slayer debuted.

Holdover forecasts listed below represent the three-day weekend unless otherwise noted.

Weekend Forecast

A Quiet Place Part II
3-Day Opening Range: $33 – 46 million
4-Day Opening Range: $40 – 55 million

Cruella
3-Day Opening Range: $14 – 22 million
4-Day Opening Range: $17 – 27 million

Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, May 30 Location Count % Change from Last Wknd
A Quiet Place Part II Paramount Pictures $42,000,000 (3-day)

$51,000,000 (4-day)

$42,000,000

3,726 NEW
Cruella Walt Disney Pictures $17,500,000 (3-day)

$22,000,000 (4-day)
$17,500,000 3,892 NEW
Spiral: From the Book of Saw Lionsgate $1,900,000 $19,400,000 2,641 -59%
Wrath of Man United Artists Releasing $1,800,000 $21,800,000 2,607 -40%
Raya and the Last Dragon Walt Disney Pictures $1,500,000 $50,400,000 2,015 -10%
Those Who Wish Me Dead Warner Bros. Studios $1,000,000 $7,400,000 ~1,800 -48%
Godzilla vs. Kong Warner Bros. Studios $800,000 $98,200,000 ~1,600 -43%
Demon Slayer – Kimetsu no Yaiba – the Movie: Mugen Train Funimation $750,000 $46,200,000 ~1,175 -43%
Dream Horse Bleecker Street $475,000 $1,500,000 1,284 -44%
Mortal Kombat (2021) Warner Bros. Studios $420,000 $42,000,000 ~700 -56%

All forecasts subject to change before the first confirmation of Friday estimates from studios and/or verified, alternative sources.

Theater counts are updated as confirmed by studios.

For press and media inquiries, please contact Shawn Robbins

Follow Boxoffice PRO on Twitter

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Santikos Entertainment Announces Tenth Location

San Antonio-based Santikos Entertainment has announced the opening of their tenth location, set to begin operations in late summer 2021.

The theater, located in New Braunfels, Texas, is a pre-existing cinema that was operated by Alamo Drafthouse prior to that chain filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in March of this year. As part of integrating the theater into the Santikos chain, it will receive new recliners, upgraded digital projection, and new food and drink options, per Santikos COO Rob Lehman. Says Lehman, “We’re confident our New Braunfels family will be blown away by their new hometown cinema experience.”  

Santikos already has ties to the New Braunfels community, having held a food drive for the New Braunfels Food Bank out of their nearby Cibolo, Texas location earlier this year.

“This new venue serves one of the fastest-growing communities in the country and grants us the opportunity to give the people of Comal County and New Braunfels a truly amazing cinema experience as they have never had before,” says Santikos CEO Tim Handren. Adds Pat Wiggins, owner of Wiggins Commercial, which handles leasing in the shopping center where the cinema is located: “While other theater operators have struggled throughout the pandemic, Santikos’ mission to support the community and put their employees first has allowed them to thrive. We are ecstatic that they will soon call New Braunfels home in the centrally located Marketplace.”

Santikos was among the first North American exhibitors to reopen their doors to customers in summer 2020. In addition to the new New Braunfels location, the chain’s existing Silverado location will reopen tomorrow, May 28, and a “potential 11th location”—per an official press release—is in the works.   

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Cinemark Strikes Deal with D-Box for Installations at 8 Additional Cinemark Theaters in the U.S.

D-Box has signed a new agreement with Cinemark to install D-Box motion-control recliner seats in eight additional Cinemark locations. That brings the total number of Cinemark D-Box auditoriums to 99 in the U.S.

The new D-Box installations will take place at Cinemark locations in Daly City, Roseville, Waco, Jacksonville Frisco, Kirkland, Durbin Park, and Downey.

“We are thrilled and excited to collaborate once again with our long-time partner Cinemark,” said D-Box President and CEO Sébastien Mailhot in a statement. “This new agreement confirms the extra value the d-box cinematic experience brings to moviegoers when choosing their entertainment, we are offering a complete immersive dimension to the cinematographic experience for moviegoers.”

“We are highly encouraged with the status of the theatrical recovery in North America given the rapid deployment of vaccines, easing government restrictions, and recent box office successes, which demonstrate the pent-up demand for the immersive, cinematic experience,” added Cinemark EVP Technology Operations and Presentation Damian Wardle. “D-Box further enhances the entertainment level and transports guests into the on-screen action like never before, which is an escape from reality our guests have been craving.”

Earlier this month, D-Box announced the upcoming slate of Hollywood releases that will be shown in D-Box auditoriums: A Quiet Place Part II, Cruella, The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It, F9, Black Widow, Space Jam: A New Legacy, Snake Eyes, Hotel Transylvania: Transformania, Jungle Cruise, The Suicide Squad, Venom: Let There Be Carnage, Dune, No Time to Die, Top Gun: Maverick, The King’s Man, and Morbius.

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This Week on The Boxoffice Podcast: Bob Berney on the New Landscape for Theatrical Distribution

In this week’s episode of The Boxoffice Podcast, distribution veteran Bob Berney joins Boxoffice Pro editorial director Daniel Loria in a conversation about the seismic changes affecting theatrical distribution and exhibition as audiences return to theaters.

After starting his career programming independent and specialty films for movie theaters in Texas, Berney made the jump to distribution and went on to release some of the most successful arthouse titles of the last three decades. Roles at IFC Films (Y Tu Mamá Tambien, My Big Fat Greek Wedding), Newmarket Films (The Passion of the Christ, Monster, Whale Rider), and FilmDistrict (Insidious, Drive) preceded his appointment as head of marketing and distribution at Amazon Studios in 2015. During his four years at Amazon, Berney helped launch the tech giant’s foray into theatrical distribution with a strategy that embraced traditional theatrical releases and promoted a diverse slate of crossover independent titles like Manchester by the Sea and The Big Sick.

Berney left Amazon to relaunch his own distribution company, Picturehouse, in 2019. In this interview, Berney shares his insights on the current volatility affecting the theatrical market as streaming companies make a play for big movies and major franchises at the multiplex, while specialty players learn to adapt to a market without the influence of the film festival circuit.  

Listen to The Full Episode:

The transcript below has been edited and condensed for clarity. Subscribe to The Boxoffice Podcast on SpotifyApple, and wherever you get your podcasts to access the full interview.

You began your career in exhibition. What were some of the lessons that you took from that experience and how did they influence your approach to theatrical distribution?

During college, at the University of Texas in Austin, I worked at movie theaters. After that, I went to Houston where I worked at an AMC theater called The Greenway that was kind of a loser at the time. And they let me try indie films—anything—there. That is what really got me interested in trying to curate independent films. Later, I found a location in Dallas, Texas, in the far north suburbs, where I was programming indie and art films. It was struggling but it took off because I found a film called My Brilliant Career. We were playing in the suburbs, and all of a sudden, it took off and played months in Dallas. It showed there was a need. We finally found a beautiful location called the Inwood Theatre in Dallas, which we turned into a real community center. It had three screens, we developed the first bar and restaurant in a movie theater before any of these current trends. What I learned from that is to really respect the audience and learn from them, how they respond, and to how to really invite people into a theater and make it part of a community. We did film festivals there, we did director Q&As. My experience in exhibition really helped me learn what marketing works from other distributors, what methods to use, and, mainly, how to talk to the audience. It was really a great experience. I miss it and I always follow the exhibition business as a distributor with an admiration for what it brings people and knowing how difficult the business is.

How did you first come to be involved with your current company, Picturehouse, and what was its ethos coming into the distribution landscape at the time you founded it?

At the time, Picturehouse evolved from a company I owned with some partners called Newmarket Films. We had distributed some big films, including The Passion of the Christ and Whale Rider, among several others. We sold Newmarket’s distribution assets to a combination of HBO Films and New Line Cinema and renamed it Picturehouse. So it was really me and the same team under new corporate ownership. At the time, HBO Films wanted to start making theatrical films and New Line had recently shut down Fine Line, their indie label, and wanted to have a new version. Since both of those companies were owned by Time Warner, they decided to split it and both invest in and buyout Newmarket Films. That’s how it started, it was really to do independent films while being financially responsible—making award winning films that were also successful. That was the goal.

We’re in a very different landscape now. You mentioned that, at the time, HBO was trying to get into movie theaters; right now, it’s movie theaters trying to make sure their programming doesn’t end up on HBO Max on the day it opens. The pandemic is also a huge factor in today’s market, with risks and opportunities around programming and dating titles on the release schedule. 

Well, it’s interesting, because we’re not only recovering from the pandemic, but as of this week, we’ve gone into two huge sea changing events with the changes at WarnerMedia and AT&T and the [news] of Amazon buying MGM. We’re in a really volatile situation, especially when all of a sudden Warner Bros. goes day-and-date with HBO Max, but my feeling is that there will definitely be a recovery. 

We’ve already seen signs of people wanting to come back to movie theaters. I understand it will take some time, but you can tell, when you go back and see people’s reactions, that they’ve missed it. Now we just need movies in theaters for people to go to. We’re in this period where are films starting to come back, but [the market hasn’t] generated consistent releases. 

That said, for indie films, there is an older audience that may be slower to come back—although you could also argue they were the first vaccinated, so maybe they’ll be among the first. Ultimately, I do think the moviegoing experience will return. It’s going to be a slog through the summer—maybe until the fall, when the bigger indie films get back to festivals with publicity. 

One thing the pandemic showed us is that virtual festivals, while admirable, don’t have the same impact as an in-person event. Telluride is going to happen this year. Cannes has said they are moving forward ,  and it looks like it will happen. It’s going to take these festivals, to start generating the publicity, awareness, and the excitement that make people want to go back to the movies.

The fesival scene right now reminds me of sports being played at empty stadiums because of the pandemic. The content is there—the games are being played—with these virtual or hybrid festivals “behind closed doors,” but  it doesn’t seem like an occasion. And the cultural impact of the film festival cycle that has such relevance for awards season, for acquisitions, for the independent and foreign film community, it just feels like we really need to have these events back to being occassion for them to hit their full potential and have a true impact on the industry.

I agree, and I think you’re going find a lot of distributors waiting to see if these festivals are really back or if it’s a hybrid of virtual and in-person. That will weigh into their decisions about giving their biggest films to the festivals. A lot of the films from last year are still waiting—what comes to mind is something like Wes Anderson’s new movie—that have been sitting around and waiting for the cinemas and festivals to come back. It does feel like it is going to happen, but it still may be a little tough this summer.

One of those films that had to wait during the pandemic is Fatima, one of your releases that was scheduled to release last Spring.

Correct. Originally, we were going to release it in April [2020], and then of course, all of this happened. We still held on to the chance that maybe late in the summer, say August [2020] it could happen, but around July it was looking rough and we decided to pivot. We went with a PVOD release, following some of the films that did that last summer, and it did quite well. This was before the changes we saw with, say Universal and AMC making these [shortened window] deals. It was succesful on PVOD, on VOD and DVD, and then played streaming as well. And after all these things, we still then reopened in theaters with AMC. 

Before the pandemic, in January [2020], we had gone to AMC in Kansas City and showed them the film, anticipating the theatrical release. AMC invited some of the local  people from the bishops office in the Catholic Dioceses there and we got a great response. I think they liked the film and saw the reaction. And when we reopened the film [in May 2021] we got tons of publicity, particularly in the Catholic area, I think because it was in theaters. The theatrical release gave it momentum around a specific date and made it more an event, even though it had been on all these other platforms. 

What it showed me is that a theatrical release really does create and generate publicity and excitement. Maybe there will be a future with a hybrid of the Universal model with PVOD, day-and-date, and traditional theatrical releases. It’s gotten to the point where there’s going to be multiple ways to do something. I do think that independent films need word of mouth; they need to play. For the indie films, there is still going to be room for a traditional release. The theatrical window may be shorter than 90 days, but these films need audiences to tell people [about them] and it takes a while to spread word of mouth compared to a wide release.

As we begin to understand how this industry works through a new way of doing business, we are also hearing calls from the audience to see more diversity on screen: more cultures, different languages. Where I find a disconnect is that these type of films already exist, it’s not that these movies aren’t being made, distributed, or programmed. Companies like Picturehouse are out there putting diverse films on screen. Take Mexico, for example, there is more Mexican cinema on screen in New York City than in most Mexican cities. What is missing for this part of the industry to connect with those audiences clamoring to see more diverse films?

It only takes a film or to break through, but then you need to follow up. When we did Y Tu Mama Tambien back at IFC Films, it broke through, but exhibitors and distributors need to keep going. It can’t be because a certain type of film comes and doesn’t do business, that they go, ‘Okay, it’s over.’ It needs consistency. Independent distributors have made inroads with smaller exhibitors and the larger circuits to experiment with. Now that media targeting is better with digital media, I think we’ll see more of it. 

We need some successes and we need exhibitors to playing them, not just rely on one film and whether it works or not. Parasite doing so much business woke up the whole industry to realizing we’ve ghettoized some of these films just because they’re in another language—and yet, the emotion and power of the cinema breaks through all that. If you have the right storytelling, it’s a big movie—the past couple of years have shown that. It is tough with all the competition from streaming and everything else. There’s more ways for content to reach customers. But I do think things will improve and we need more independent cinemas out there that can play these films. 

Film festivals also provide a cultural seal of approval for these films. As they re-enter their local market, having that seal of approval of international prestige helps them find local screens. As you were saying earlier, that is why having film festivals back is going to be very important for exhibition, not only in the U.S. but also abroad.

My hope is that we have enough independent exhibitors hang in there and stay open as we wait for the recovery, and that the bigger chains can give these films a shot as well. It’s going to take effort from both the distribution and exhibition communities to work together in sharing audience data with each other. There has to be a sharing of data to reach the audience and discover how we can we work together. Circuits are realizing that and even competing exhibitors need to try and share audience data to help the overall theatrical experience.

Talking about data and new platforms, in your previous role you helped Amazon Studios get off the ground. And it wasn’t through big tentpoles, you came in with a very interesting strategy of bringing independent and arthouse movies that could breakthrough—and during your time there, they did. What did you learn from your time at Amazon and how have you applied those lessons to Picturehouse today?

At Amazon the focus is on data, but it’s also about how you can present films and market them. I was able really learn a lot from their systems there to reach audiences. At the same time, we were trying to say, ‘Look, the theatrical experience drives movies and can drive streaming too.’ We went through traditional theatrical releases at the time, with films like Manchester by the Sea and The Big Sick. We were able to take the power of Amazon’s marketing and data to drive those films to  record heights. For a film like Manchester by the Sea, a lot of people thought, ‘Wow, this is a tough one,’ but it really worked—and the streaming was successful after that. 

I believe movies can drive subscribers to streamers. There is always this tension between going exclusively theatrical or day-and-date. After some time at Amazon, there was a lot of push internally to go straight to streaming or day-and-date. There’s always factions within these companies. If you look now at what’s happening at Amazon with films like Coming 2 America and the Borat sequel, these are big movies. I think they’ve realized that big movies are what matters to them. It’ll be interesting to see, particularly in light of this [news] of Amazon taking over MGM, how it plays out. I  think it shows that customers want big movies. I hope, in the future, there’s a balance there between theatrical and streaming. I think there will be, that we’ll see more theatrical from the streamers, at least as as promotional vehicle. I hope they can work with exhibition in some way.

Another thing to understand as the cinema industry is realigned is that the success metrics are different from an established legacy studio, to an independent distributor like Picturehouse, and to tech companies like Amazon or Netflix. Can you share what those success metrics were during your time at Amazon and how they differ from your current role at Picturehouse?  Because if we’re looking at box office numbers alone, dollar gross doesn’t even begin to tell the story of what these two different models value.

The old Hollywood model of one picture success or failure can literally sink a company, whereas streamers are looking at multiple films and increasing their number of subscribers. If there are one or two films that don’t work, they make absolutely no difference in the way a Netflix or Amazon operate. They can take much bigger bets  compared to big studios. It’s a different world, where they look at a much broader picture than that the old, live-and-die by the Friday night or opening weekend numbers of a studio.

To assess the level of that success or failure we need data. What’s it going to take to get more viewership data from streaming companies? Whether that’s in the form of box office or streaming numbers—are these metrics even relevant for us to be looking at considering the scope of these companies? 

It is, and I think you’re going to see a slow trend to reveal that information. As the streaming services get competitive, they’re going to want to tout their successes to get filmmakers to join them. They’re going to start revealing some of that information that has always been private. At the same time, what you’re seeing is the studios starting to withhold information. Studios are now saying, ‘Well, wait a minute, maybe we don’t need to report the gross.’ We might see more of this back and forth, a lot of selective reporting. We’re may not hear about the ones that don’t do so well. 

That’s the concern that we have; seeing this turn into a press release business rather than a news business. It’s important to gain insights, to learn form mistakes and missed opportunities, the sort of things that may not make a press release.  

There is going to be a need for context and what those numbers mean, too. You could use theatrical as a launching pad, which would be great, but you also want to know what the whole life of a film is. That bigger story is still being hidden; it’s not just about the theatrical or streaming part, it’s the entire life of the film. 

I feel like the theatrical experience will survive this. It’s going to be different. There may be different terms and maybe even a different number of screens, but I do think it will survive and that the audience will and want and demand it.  

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The Biggest Movies Coming to Theaters Memorial Day Weekend and June

After a 2020 theatrical summer movie season we’d rather forget, summer 2021 should be one to remember. Starting in earnest on Memorial Day weekend, releases in late May and June aim to pack audiences into cinemas.

A new survey from National Research Group (NRG) found 70 percent of Americans say they are “very” or “somewhat” comfortable seeing movies on the big screen, a record high since the COVID-19 pandemic shutdown began in March 2020.

As an added incentive, the National Association of Theatre Owners (NATO), the Motion Picture Association (MPA), and North American exhibitors are joining forces for the first ever Cinema Week on June 22-27, with exclusive in-theater content and giveaways. Listen to the most recent episode of the Boxoffice Podcast, featuring the organizers of Cinema Week:

 


A Quiet Place Part II

Friday, May 28

Premise: Paramount’s horror sequel returns with Emily Blunt as Evelyn Abbott, a mother who must keep her children alive in a dystopian world reduced to silence by murderous creatures who can only sense humans by sense of sound. Blunt’s real-life husband John Krasinski returns to direct.

Theatrical exclusivity? Yes. The film will play for 45 days with theatrical exclusivity, after which it will move to Paramount+. 

Box office comparisons: Although pre-pandemic comparisons are apples and oranges, 2018’s original A Quiet Place proved loud with a $50.2M opening and $188.0M domestic total.

Box office forecast: Boxoffice PRO‘s chief analyst Shawn Robbins currently projects a $30M-$50M four-day opening, including Memorial Day Monday, and an $85M-$140M domestic total.

One more thing: Sound designers Erik Aadahl and Ethan Van der Ryn earned an Academy Award nomination for their work on the first film. They discuss their work on the sequel with Boxoffice PRO here.


Cruella

Friday, May 28

Premise: Emma Stone stars in Disney’s origin story of 101 Dalmatians antagonist Cruella de Vil, set in in 1970s London. Craig Gillespie (I, Tonya) directs.

Theatrical exclusivity? No. The film will debut day-and-date in both theaters and on Disney+ Premier Access, for a $29.99 additional charge for Disney+ subscribers.

Box office comparisons: Two previous live action films starred Glenn Close as Cruella de Vil: 1996’s 101 Dalmatians barked up a $33.5M opening and $136.1M domestic total, while 2000’s sequel 102 Dalmatians debuted with $19.8M and earned $66.9M domestically. For another recent live action movie centered on an originally animated Disney villain, 2019’s Maleficent: Mistress of Evil (about the antagonist of Sleeping Beauty) stayed awake with a $36.9M opening and $113.9M domestic total.

Box office forecast: Shawn Robbins projects a $15M-$30M four-day opening, including Memorial Day Monday, and a $45M-$105M total.


The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It

Friday, June 4

Premise: Warner Bros. and New Line’s third installment in the Conjuring horror franchise follows a pair of paranormal investigators. This installment, based on the real story of the first U.S. murder suspect to use demonic possession as a legal defense, takes place in 1981. Michael Chaves (The Curse of La Llorona) directs.

Theatrical exclusivity? No. The film will be released day-and-date both in theaters and on HBO Max.

Box office comparisons: 2013’s original The Conjuring scared up a $41.8M opening and a $137.4M domestic total, while 2016’s sequel The Conjuring 2 opened to $40.4M for a $102.4M domestic total.

Box office forecast: Shawn Robbins projects a $15M-$25M opening and $37M-$65M domestic total.


Spirit Untamed

Friday, June 4

Premise: Universal’s and DreamWorks’ animated story of a girl and her horse is based on the Netflix series Spirit Riding Free, which is itself based on the 2002 animated film Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron.

Theatrical exclusivity: Yes. Universal has inked agreements with AMC and Cinemark for theatrical exclusivity of at least three weekends for their upcoming films.

Box office comparisons: 2002’s Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron galloped to a $17.7M opening and $73.2M domestic total.

Box office forecast: Shawn Robbins forecasts a $2M-$7M opening and $15M-$35M domestic total.


In the Heights

Friday, June 11

Premise: Based on the Tony Award-winning Broadway musical written by Lin-Manuel Miranda of Hamilton fame, the film follows Anthony Ramos (also from Hamilton) as he struggles to become successful in the New York City neighborhood of Washington Heights. Jon M. Chu (Crazy Rich Asians) directs.

Theatrical exclusivity? No. Warner Bros. will release the movie day-and-date both in theaters and on HBO Max.

Box office comparisons: In terms of recent movie musicals, 2019’s Cats infamously coughed up a furball with a $27.1M domestic total, but others proved more successful, including 2014’s Into the Woods ($128.0M), 2017’s The Greatest Showman ($174.3M), and 2016’s La La Land ($151.1M).

Box office forecast: Shawn Robbins projects a $25M-$45M opening and $70M-$140M domestic total.


Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway

Friday, June 11

Premise: James Corden returns to voice the animated title character, who must choose between his old friends and allegiance to a gang of streetwise talking animals that he (accidentally) joins. Rose Byrne, Domhnall Gleeson, and David Oyelowo star in live action roles.

Theatrical exclusivity? Yes. Sony Pictures is releasing the film in theaters only.

Box office comparisons: 2018’s original Peter Rabbit hopped to a $25.0M opening and $115.2M domestic total.

Box office forecast: Shawn Robbins projects a $17M-$22M opening and $50M-$75M domestic total.

One more thing: Read Boxoffice PRO‘s interview with director Will Gluck in our upcoming June print issue.


The Hitman’s Wife’s Bodyguard

Wednesday, June 16

Premise: Ryan Reynolds, Samuel L. Jackson, and Salma Hayek return in this R-rated action comedy. In this installment, Reynolds’ protagonist is not allowed to use any weapons during his mission.

Theatrical exclusivity? Yes. Lionsgate is releasing the film in theaters only.

Box office comparisons: 2017’s original The Hitman’s Bodyguard was a hit, man, with a $21.3M opening and $75.4M domestic total.

Box office forecast: Shawn Robbins projects a $13M-$18M opening weekend (although the film’s Wednesday opening will diminish its Friday-Sunday figure), en route to a $40M-$60M domestic total.


F9

Friday, June 25

Premise: Vin Diesel and the gang are back in this ninth installment for the action-adventure The Fast and the Furious franchise, with John Cena joining as the villain and Diesel’s character’s brother. Expect plenty of fast cars and chase sequences.

Theatrical exclusivity: Yes. Universal recently inked agreements with AMC and Cinemark for theatrical exclusivity of at least three weekends for their upcoming films and at least five weekends for any film that debuts above $50M. This seems likely to be Universal’s first release that will exceed that mark since the deals were signed.

Box office comparisons: The previous “in-series” installment, 2017’s The Fate of the Furious, revved up a $98.7M opening and $225.7M domestic total. 2019’s spinoff installment Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw pumped the breaks slightly with a $60.0M opening and $173.9M domestic total.

Box office forecast: Shawn Robbins projects a $60M-$90M opening and $140M-$210M domestic total. The film has debuted in eight markets already, including China, where it became the first Hollywood film to open to $100M-plus since March 2020.

One more thing: Read Boxoffice PRO‘s interview with director Justin Lin in our upcoming June print issue.


Other notable theatrical releases this June:

  • Fathom Events’ 10th anniversary re-release of 2011 comedy Bridesmaids will play on June 6, 9, and 10.
  • Fathom Events’ re-release of 1964 musical My Fair Lady will play on June 13 and 16. 
  • Encore Live’s “drive-in concert” on the big screen will feature country duo Florida Georgia Line featuring special guest Nelly (who collaborated with FGL on their 2013 Billboard #4 hit Cruise), for one night only on June 12.
  • Fathom Events’ 25th anniversary re-release of Tom Cruise’s Jerry Maguire will play on June 20 and 24.

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Wednesday, May 26, 2021

Fandango Study Reveals Consumer Confidence in Return to Cinemas, Lists Most Anticipated Films of the Summer

A study conducted by Fandango, the largest digital ticketing portal for cinemas in the United States, has revealed that 93 percent of moviegoers have expressed satisfaction in their return to the movies. A total of 4,000 ticket buyers through Fandango were asked about their recent cinema experience in the poll, with 87 percent of those surveyed indicating they felt their theater did a great job in making them feel safe.

Fandango’s study also revealed that 76 percent of moviegoers supported measures like socially-distanced seating, enhanced cleaning measures, and contactless ticketing. 86 percent of respondents said they were comfortable ordering concessions. 78 percent found their fellow moviegoers were more attentive than usual in their return to the cinema, with minimal distractions like talking or cell phone use in the auditorium. Of those surveyed, 77 percent indicated they would be comfortable inside a cinema auditorium once they return to full capacity.

The study was conducted between May 3 and May 23, 2021. The demographic breakdown of the group was 65 percent ages 18 to 54, with 56 percent identifying as female, 43 percent male and 1 percent non-binary.  All of the study’s participants had purchased movie tickets at least once in the past 12 months on Fandango, with 85 percent of them having visited a cinema within the last three months. 70 percent of participants in the study said they were vaccinated, with an additional 13 percent indicating they were planning on receiving a Covid-19 vaccine.

“Moviegoing has taken a hard hit during the pandemic, but theater chains have done an excellent job implementing new safety features so that moviegoers can return to the cinema with confidence,” said Fandango Chief Commercial Officer Kevin Shepela. “Our study shows that exhibitors’ hard work has paid off, with moviegoers thrilled to be back in theaters and excited for summer movie season.”

Fandango also took the opportunity to ask participants in their study about the movies they were most excited to see over the summer. 96 percent of those ticket buyers said they plan to see multiple movies over the coming summer months, with 64 percent stating they planned to see 5 titles or more in theaters. 91 percent of those surveyed stated their support of seeing the biggest blockbuster at the cinema and 87 percent confirmed they felt the moviegoing experience could not be replicated in the home.

Fandango’s Return to Theaters Survey
Top 5 Most Anticipated Titles of Summer 2021

1. Black Widow 
Disney, July 9

2. A Quiet Place Part II 
Paramount, May 28

3. F9 
Universal, June 25

4. The Suicide Squad
Warner Bros., August 6

5. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
Disney, September 3

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Amazon Enters Into Agreement to Acquire MGM

In a first-of-its-kind acquisition of a major Hollywood studio by a streaming outfit, Amazon and MGM have entered into a definitive merger agreement that, pending approvals, will see Amazon acquire MGM for $8.45 billion.

Under the agreement, Amazon will own the rights to MGM’s historic catalog, with Amazon’s official statement citing works including franchise starters Rocky, Robocop, and Tomb Raider, among classics like 12 Angry Men and Raging Bull. Said Mike Hopkins, SVP of Prime Video and Amazon Studios, “The real financial value behind this deal is the treasure trove of IP in the deep catalog that we plan to reimagine and develop together with MGM’s talented team. It’s very exciting and provides so many opportunities for high-quality storytelling.”

Among MGM’s currently active franchises, the most popular—and lucrative—is James Bond, currently distributed in North America by United Artists Releasing and internationally by Universal Pictures. The next installment in that series, No Time to Die, is slated to arrive exclusively in cinemas on October 8, 2021. Other upcoming films from MGM/UA include House of Gucci, The Addams Family 2, and a planned sequel to 2018’s Tomb Raider reboot.

Since 2015, when Amazon Studios distributed their first film (Spike Lee’s Chi-Raq, co-distributed with Roadside Attractions), the company has shifted away from a model of limited theatrical exclusivity to one where more films—like 2020 releases Coming 2 America or Borat Subsequent Moviefilm—are released day-and-date or exclusively on Prime Video. How Amazon’s acquisition of MGM will affect the release strategies of upcoming MGM releases is unknown; the agreement will not become official until some later date, when certain closing conditions are met and regulatory approvals are made.

“It has been an honor to have been a part of the incredible transformation of Metro Goldwyn Mayer. To get here took immensely talented people with a true belief in one vision. On behalf of the Board, I would like to thank the MGM team who have helped us arrive at this historic day,” said Kevin Ulrich, chairman of the board of directors of MGM. “I am very proud that MGM’s Lion, which has long evoked the Golden Age of Hollywood, will continue its storied history, and the idea born from the creation of United Artists lives on in a way the founders originally intended, driven by the talent and their vision. The opportunity to align MGM’s storied history with Amazon is an inspiring combination.”

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