Weekend Estimates: ‘Aquaman’ ($48M+) & ‘Mary Poppins Returns ($28M+) Continue Holiday Reign; ‘Vice’ ($8M+) & ‘Holmes and Watson’ ($7M+) Debut

Saturday, December 29 Report: Warner Bros.’ Aquaman continues to float atop the box office after posting another $17.1 million on Friday. Domestically, that brings the DC title’s haul up to $154.3 million after eight days of release, putting it 32 percent ahead of the pace of Venom and 37 percent ahead of Ant-Man and the Wasp. We’re projecting a sophomore weekend around $48.5 million leading into New Year’s Eve on Monday.

Internationally, Aquaman added $18.4 million on Friday — including $2.4 million in China and $2.0 million from Australia, the latter being the film’s opening weekend. The Chinese total stands at $251.4 million, bringing the overseas total to $511.8 million and the global haul to $666.1 million thus far.

Back on the domestic side, Mary Poppins Returns continues to display encouraging holds with $10.62 million added on Friday. That gives the sequel $81.5 million in all through ten days of play, setting it on a course to likely exceed our most recent weekend forecast. Current projections now sit around $29.8 million for the three-day frame.

Bumblebee ($6.82 million), Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse ($6.435 million), and The Mule ($3.97 million) capped off the top five yesterday, while Vice added $2.73 million in sixth place for a four-day total thus far of $12.64 million. Holmes and Watson added $2.7 million yesterday, giving it $15.1 million earned since Tuesday.

On the award season front, If Beale Street Could Talk expanded to 65 locations with $228K yesterday, while Mary Queen of Scots ($886K) and The Favourite ($775K) continues to perform well in limited release.

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, DEC. 28 – SUN, DEC. 30

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Aquaman	$48,500,000	-29%	4,125	0	$11,758	$185,735,000	3	Warner Bros.
2	Mary Poppins Returns	$29,800,000	27%	4,090	0	$7,286	$100,710,758	2	Disney
3	Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse	$19,000,000	14%	3,813	0	$4,983	$104,500,000	3	Sony / Columbia
4	Bumblebee	$19,000,000	-12%	3,550	0	$5,352	$65,278,020	2	Paramount Pictures
5	The Mule	$11,200,000	18%	2,787	131	$4,019	$60,158,000	3	Warner Bros.
6	Vice	$8,400,000	—	2,442	—	$3,440	$18,306,116	1	Annapurna
7	Holmes and Watson	$7,600,000	—	2,776	—	$2,738	$19,995,000	2	Sony Pictures
8	Second Act	$7,200,000	11%	2,607	0	$2,762	$7,200,000	3	STX Entertainment
9	Ralph Breaks the Internet	$6,800,000	45%	2,343	-152	$2,902	$175,981,583	6	Disney
10	Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch	$4,600,000	-46%	2,555	-225	$1,800	$265,935,485	8	Universal
11	Welcome to Marwen	$2,300,000	-2%	1,911	0	$1,204	$7,837,090	2	Universal Pictures
12	Creed II	$1,600,000	3%	1,068	-59	$1,498	$112,163,646	6	MGM / Warner Bros
13	Mortal Engines	$1,000,000	-43%	2,995	-108	$334	$14,652,905	3	Universal

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Mary Queen of Scots	$2,800,000	23%	841	46	$3,329	$9,151,320	4	Focus Features
2	The Favourite	$2,500,000	20%	809	19	$3,090	$15,321,022	6	Fox Searchlight
3	Bohemian Rhapsody	$2,300,000	17%	868	-300	$2,650	$189,156,515	9	20th Century Fox
4	Green Book	$1,900,000	37%	621	-111	$3,060	$31,492,816	7	Universal Pictures
5	Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald	$1,000,000	11%	515	-167	$1,942	$156,620,000	7	Warner Bros.
6	Instant Family	$985,000	52%	744	0	$1,324	$64,600,775	7	Paramount Pictures
7	A Star is Born	$500,000	45%	236	-26	$2,119	$201,040,000	13	Warner Bros.
8	The Nutcracker and the Four Realms	$185,000	-10%	218	-23	$849	$54,557,150	9	Walt Disney Pictures
9	Robin Hood	$115,000	28%	189	-41	$608	$30,634,519	6	Lionsgate / Summit

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	If Beale Street Could Talk	$725,000	564%	65	60	$11,154	$1,923,810	3	Annapurna
2	Destroyer	$38,000	—	3	—	$12,667	$95,189	1	Annapurna Pictures

The post Weekend Estimates: ‘Aquaman’ ($48M+) & ‘Mary Poppins Returns ($28M+) Continue Holiday Reign; ‘Vice’ ($8M+) & ‘Holmes and Watson’ ($7M+) Debut appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

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