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Sunday, March 17, 2019

Studio Weekend Estimates: Captain Marvel Soars to Powerful $69.3M; Wonder Park Coasts to $16M; Five Feet Apart Overperforms w/ $13.1M

Predictably, this weekend saw Captain Marvel continuing to dominate the North American box office with an estimated $69.3 million, a solid sophomore frame for the superhero blockbuster that has reached incredible heights in just ten days of release. Meanwhile, two new wide releases – the animated adventure Wonder Park and the YA rom-dram Five Feet Apart – both performed better than expected in second and third place, respectively, leading to one of the more robust Top 10s so far this year.

Following its incredible $153.4 million opening last weekend (the third-highest opening ever in the month of March), Captain Marvel continued scoring with audiences in its second weekend, dipping roughly 55%. That’s a fairly typical drop for the second weekend of an MCU title, roughly in line with last year’s Avengers: Infinity War (55.5% drop) and 2017’s Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (55.5%). The Disney release now has a super-sized $266.2 million after ten days, which already puts in twelfth place among all MCU installments, just ahead of Captain America: The Winter Soldier ($259.7 million) and just below Iron Man 2 ($312.4 million). With very positive word-of-mouth, look for Captain Marvel to continue performing well all the way up to the April 26 release of Avengers: Endgame, which will feature Brie Larson’s title character in her second MCU outing. It is now the 25th highest-grossing superhero movie of all time.

Working its way into second place with a stronger-than-expected total was Wonder Park, which debuted with an estimated $16 million. Going into the weekend, the Paramount release’s opening gross was generally expected to be somewhere in the low double-digits, but it rose above that probably thanks to the its younger-skewing subject matter, offering a viable counter-programming option for families who’ve already caught How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World and The LEGO Movie 2. Additionally, certain areas of the country are currently on their Spring Break, which may also have helped the film perform better than anticipated this weekend.

Wonder Park could have conceivably debuted even higher had it not been for the film’s poor critical reviews (it has a 43% on Rotten Tomatoes), which may have kept more discerning families away. Additionally, for a film with a budget that some have pegged as high as $100 million, this isn’t a totally encouraging start, and the track ahead looks considerably rougher, particularly with Disney’s highly-anticipated live-action Dumbo (March 29) looming on the horizon.

Also overperforming in third place was Five Feet Apart, about two young people suffering from cystic fibrosis who fall in love. The Lionsgate/CBS Films release falls squarely in the wheelhouse of previous movies like The Fault in Our Stars and If I Stay, and its $ million opening came in just a couple million short of the latter’s $15.6 million debut in 2014. Despite only mixed reviews (it has a 53% on Rotten Tomatoes), audiences awarded the film an “A” CinemaScore, and positive word-of-mouth seems to have boosted its gross this weekend. Its CinemaScore among moviegoers 18 and under was an even better “A+,” which indicates it’s been pushing all the right buttons for its core demo of teenage girls and could be looking at a leggy run in the weeks ahead. Notably, its opening weekend take nearly doubled its $7 million budget.

Falling to fourth place was How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, which brought in an estimated $9.3 million in its fourth weekend of release. With $135.6 million so far, the Universal title has fallen slightly behind How to Train Your Dragon 2 and significantly behind the first film in the series, which was the leggiest entry in the series by far.

Fifth went to Tyler Perry’s A Madea Family Funeral, which brought in an estimated $8 million in its third weekend. The Lionsgate release has now grossed a healthy $59 million, surpassing the $53.3 million total of Madea’s Big Happy Family to put it in fifth place among all installments of the long-running franchise.

Sixth place went to No Manches Frida 2, the second in the comedy series released by Lionsgate subsidiary Pantelion Films. Its $3.8 million opening represents a healthy total for a film debuting in only 472 locations, and it’s a slight improvement on the opening gross of the first movie (though that one debuted in roughly 100 fewer theaters). This marks the latest successful release by Pantelion, which has minted a number of hits aimed at the Latinx audience since launching in 2011, including 2017’s How to Be a Latin Lover and last year’s Overboard remake starring Eugenio Derbez and Anna Faris.

The weekend’s final wide new release, Focus Features’ sci-fi/thriller Captive State, debuted poorly in seventh place with an estimated $3.1 million, a disappointing result for a film opening on over 2,500 screens. That represents a weak per-screen average of just $1,241, putting it in the same ballpark as the sci-fi disappointment Replicas ($2.3 million opening) that hit theaters back in January. This one wasn’t helped by middling reviews and a general lack of awareness from audiences, not to mention the fact that it debuted in such a crowded overall marketplace.

Eighth place went to The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part, which brought in an estimated $2.1 million in its sixth weekend. The Warner Bros. title has now surpassed the $100 million mark, but it took far longer to do so than its predecessor, which crossed the threshold in just its second weekend of release.

In ninth place, Alita: Battle Angel grossed an estimated $1.9 million, giving it $81.8 million after five weeks of release, while tenth went to that old standby Green Book, which brought in $1.28 million in its eighteenth weekend for a domestic total of $82.6 million.

Overseas Update:

Captain Marvel racked up an estimated $119.7 million this weekend in 54 markets, bringing its international total to $494 million and its global cume to $760.2 million. Totals include $132 million in China, $36.5 million in Korea, $30.9 million in the UK, $24.3 million in Brazil, and $22.4 million in Mexico. It is currently the seventeenth highest-grossing superhero title ever internationally.

The post Studio Weekend Estimates: <em>Captain Marvel</em> Soars to Powerful $69.3M; <em>Wonder Park</em> Coasts to $16M; <em>Five Feet Apart</em> Overperforms w/ $13.1M appeared first on Boxoffice.



from Boxoffice

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