This week’s report takes a look at the first full weekend of September 2018 as our look deeper into 3Q continues.
The Nun
Opening Weekend Range: $35 – 50 million
The Conjuring universe has proven incredibly successful over the last five years as the main films and two Annabelle spin-offs have an average domestic gross of nearly $107 million. This latest spin-off has generated encouraging buzz thus far as a fan favorite character from The Conjuring 2 becomes the focus. Social media growth to this point has outpaced Annabelle: Creation, and the recent surge by the horror genre at the box office makes us confident this one could easily prove to be another breakout.
Peppermint
Opening Weekend Range: $8 – 15 million
Jennifer Garner returns to her action roots in this revenge tale aiming to capture fans of films like Taken and The Foreigner. Early metrics are modest at this time, but there could be room for more upside as release approaches and marketing fully kicks in.
Updated Ranges
Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! ($28 – 38 million)
Unfriended: Dark Web ($6 – 10 million)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout ($55 – 69 million)
Teen Titans GO! to the Movies ($15 – 23 million)
The Darkest Minds ($7 – 13 million)
8-Week Tracking
| Release Date | Title | 3-Day Wide Opening | % Chg from Last Week | Domestic Total | % Chg from Last Week | Estimated Location Count | Distributor |
| 7/20/2018 | The Equalizer 2 | $27,000,000 | 8% | $77,000,000 | 6% | 3,000 | Sony / Columbia |
| 7/20/2018 | Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! | $35,000,000 | 9% | $105,000,000 | 3,200 | Universal | |
| 7/20/2018 | Unfriended: Dark Web | $7,000,000 | -7% | $14,000,000 | -7% | 1,500 | OTL Releasing / BH Tilt |
| 7/27/2018 | Mission: Impossible – Fallout | $63,000,000 | -3% | $200,000,000 | 4,000 | Paramount | |
| 7/27/2018 | Teen Titans Go! to the Movies | $16,000,000 | -9% | $50,000,000 | -9% | 3,400 | Warner Bros. |
| 8/3/2018 | Disney’s Christopher Robin | $33,000,000 | 10% | $121,000,000 | 10% | Disney | |
| 8/3/2018 | The Darkest Minds | $9,000,000 | -25% | $28,000,000 | -26% | Fox | |
| 8/3/2018 | Searching | n/a | n/a | Sony / Screen Gems | |||
| 8/3/2018 | The Spy Who Dumped Me | $17,000,000 | $63,000,000 | Lionsgate | |||
| 8/10/2018 | Dog Days | n/a | n/a | LD Entertainment | |||
| 8/10/2018 | The Meg | $14,000,000 | $37,000,000 | Warner Bros. | |||
| 8/15/2018 | Crazy Rich Asians | $13,000,000 | $42,000,000 | Warner Bros. | |||
| 8/17/2018 | Alpha | $8,500,000 | $24,000,000 | Sony / Studio 8 | |||
| 8/17/2018 | Mile 22 | $15,000,000 | $44,000,000 | STX | |||
| 8/17/2018 | Three Seconds | $4,000,000 | $9,600,000 | Aviron | |||
| 8/24/2018 | A.X.L. | $3,000,000 | $7,500,000 | Global Road | |||
| 8/24/2018 | The Happytime Murders | $18,000,000 | $47,000,000 | STX | |||
| 8/24/2018 | Slender Man | $19,000,000 | $51,000,000 | Sony / Screen Gems | |||
| 8/24/2018 | Stuck | n/a | n/a | Freestyle Releasing | |||
| 8/31/2018 | Kin | $7,000,000 | $20,000,000 | Lionsgate / Summit | |||
| 8/31/2018 | Ya Veremos | n/a | n/a | Pantelion | |||
| 9/7/2018 | City of Lies | n/a | n/a | Global Road | |||
| 9/7/2018 | The Nun | $40,000,000 | NEW | $96,000,000 | NEW | Warner Bros. / New Line | |
| 9/7/2018 | Peppermint | $12,000,000 | NEW | $33,500,000 | NEW | STX Entertainment |
The post Long Range Tracking: ‘The Nun’ Looks to Continue ‘Conjuring’ Franchise Success with Possible $35M+ Debut appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.
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