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Friday, July 20, 2018

Long Range Tracking: ‘The Predator,’ ‘A Simple Favor,’ & ‘White Boy Rick’ Highlight Mid-September

This week’s report focuses on a handful of new releases slated to open on Friday, September 14.

The Predator
Opening Weekend Range: $24 – 34 million

Fans of the franchise are eager to see what writer/director Shane Black (The Nice GuysIron Man 3, Lethal Weapon) can do with this latest revival of the series, the first since 2010’s Predators. What remains to be seen is how much mainstream interest can be generated over the next two months, particularly given the modest (relative to pre-release expectations) and front-loaded box office runs of Blade Runner 2049 and Alien: Covenant last year.

A Simple Favor
Opening Weekend Range: $11 – 19 million

Anna Kendrick and Blake Lively headline this adaptation under the directorial wing of Paul Feig (Bridesmaids, Spy). Interest and awareness beyond established readers of the source novel aren’t quite on the level of past fall releases like The Girl on the Train and may not pick up until closer to release, but this could be a solid counter-programmer to watch for given the lack of high profile, female-driven films on the calendar between now and then.

Unbroken: Path to Redemption
Opening Weekend Range: $2 – 4 million

Despite being a sequel to the successful 2014 film, there aren’t any high profile cast or crew connections carrying over to this sequel. Coming from distributor Pure Flix this time around, we’re expecting a run similar to their other titles for the time being.

White Boy Rick
Opening Weekend Range: $6 – 12 million

Early award season buzz is driving early optimism for Yann Demange’s crime drama based on a true story, with Matthew McConaughey’s presence being a notable asset leading up to release.

8-Week Tracking

Release Date Title 3-Day Wide Opening % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor
7/27/2018 Mission: Impossible – Fallout $65,000,000 3% $200,000,000 4,000 Paramount
7/27/2018 Teen Titans Go! to the Movies $15,500,000 -3% $50,000,000 3,000 Warner Bros.
8/3/2018 Disney’s Christopher Robin $30,000,000 -9% $110,000,000 -9% 3,700 Disney
8/3/2018 The Darkest Minds $9,000,000 $28,000,000 3,000 Fox
8/3/2018 The Spy Who Dumped Me $16,500,000 -3% $60,000,000 -5% 3,100 Lionsgate
8/10/2018 Dog Days $4,500,000 NEW $13,000,000 NEW LD Entertainment
8/10/2018 The Meg $14,000,000 $37,000,000 Warner Bros.
8/10/2018 Slender Man $21,000,000 11% $55,000,000 8% Sony / Screen Gems
8/15/2018 Crazy Rich Asians $13,000,000 $42,000,000 Warner Bros.
8/17/2018 Alpha $8,500,000 $24,000,000 Sony / Studio 8
8/17/2018 Mile 22 $15,000,000 $44,000,000 STX
8/17/2018 Three Seconds n/a n/a Aviron
8/24/2018 A.X.L. $3,000,000 $7,500,000 Global Road
8/24/2018 The Happytime Murders $16,000,000 -11% $42,000,000 -11% STX
8/24/2018 Stuck n/a n/a Freestyle Releasing
8/31/2018 Kin n/a n/a Lionsgate / Summit
8/31/2018 Searching (Expansion) n/a n/a Sony / Screen Gems
8/31/2018 Ya Veremos n/a n/a Pantelion
9/7/2018 City of Lies $7,000,000 NEW $16,000,000 NEW Global Road
9/7/2018 God Bless the Broken Road n/a NEW n/a NEW Freestyle Releasing
9/7/2018 The Nun $40,000,000 $96,000,000 Warner Bros. / New Line
9/7/2018 Peppermint $12,000,000 $33,500,000 STX Entertainment
9/14/2018 Operation Finale n/a n/a MGM
9/14/2018 The Predator (2018) $28,000,000 NEW $65,000,000 NEW Fox
9/14/2018 A Simple Favor $14,000,000 NEW $40,000,000 NEW Lionsgate
9/14/2018 Unbroken: Path to Redemption $2,000,000 NEW $4,900,000 NEW Pure Flix
9/14/2018 White Boy Rick $7,500,000 NEW $24,000,000 NEW Sony / Studio 8

The post Long Range Tracking: ‘The Predator,’ ‘A Simple Favor,’ & ‘White Boy Rick’ Highlight Mid-September appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.



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