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Sunday, July 1, 2018

Studio Weekend Estimates: ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Repeats with $60M; ‘Incredibles 2’ Takes $45.5M; ‘Sicario 2’ Exceeds Expectations with $19M

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Incredibles 2 demonstrated their commercial might once again this weekend, taking the top two slots at the box office in a repeat of last frame. Meanwhile, newcomers Sicario: Day of the Soldado and Uncle Drew had healthy debuts in third and fourth place as we head into the 4th of July holiday.

After debuting at the high end of expectations last weekend with $148 million, Fallen Kingdom fell 59 percent to an estimated $60 million, giving the dino sequel a very good $264.8 million after 10 days of release. While that’s a sharper second-weekend drop than Jurassic World‘s, no one expected Fallen Kingdom to demonstrate the same kind of staying power as its predecessor, which demolished all predictions when it was released back in the summer of 2015 and benefitted heavily from pent-up fan excitement after a 14 year franchise hiatus. A better comparison might be Furious 7, which debuted to roughly the same number as Fallen Kingdom ($147.1 million) and fell 59.5 percent in weekend two. That sequel finished with $353 million domestically, so at its current pace Fallen Kingdom may well end up in that same ballpark.

In its third weekend of release, Incredibles 2 took in an estimated $45.5 million (a drop of 43 percent), giving the Disney-Pixar sequel a massive $439.7 million after 17 days of release. That already makes the superhero blockbuster the third highest-grossing animated film of all time, as it leapfrogged over Toy Story 3 ($415 million) and The Lion King ($422.7 million) this weekend and will soon enough top Shrek 2 ($441.2 million) and Finding Dory ($486.2 million) to become the No. 1 animated film of all time domestically.

Debuting solidly in third place was Sicario: Day of the Soldado, which brought in a better-than-expected $19 million this weekend. The action sequel reunites two of the stars of Sicario (Benicio del Toro and Josh Brolin), which took in $12.1 million in its wide opening back in 2015 after playing in limited release the two weeks prior.

With Sony predicting a $12 million debut going into the weekend, Day of the Soldado came in at the high end of expectations, despite the fact that it lost star Emily Blunt and original director Denis Villeneuve, as well as garnering more mixed reviews than its predecessor (67 percent vs. 93 percent on Rotten Tomatoes). Much of the turnout can likely be chalked up to audience goodwill from the first film, which had a rather leggy run and finished with $46.8 million.

In fourth place, Uncle Drew also scored better than expected grosses, taking in a very good $15.5 million in its opening frame. Starring NBA star Kyrie Irving as the title character alongside Get Out breakout Lil Rel Howery and a cast of professional basketball players including Shaquille O’Neal, and Lisa Leslie, the Lionsgate release certainly benefitted from its cast of literal all-stars, though it also had little in the way of comedy competition in the marketplace.

The audience for Uncle Drew – based on a wildly-popular series of Pepsi commercials – skewed male (59 vs. 41 percent) and older (58 percent over the age of 25). Notably, the film’s marketing campaign included integrations with Pepsi, which originated the character via its in-house Creators League studio.

Taking in an estimated $8 million in fifth place was Warner Bros.’ Ocean’s 8, which now has $114.7 million in the bank after four weekends of release. The heist flick is currently pacing well ahead of both Ocean’s Twelve and Ocean’s Thirteen, and it will soon top the lifetime grosses of both those installments (not adjusting for inflation).

Sixth place went to Warner Bros.’ Tag, which brought in an estimated $5.6 million in its third weekend of release, representing a drop of just over 31 percent from last weekend. The R-rated comedy has $40.8 million in the bank so far.

Seventh and eighth place went to Deadpool 2 and Solo: A Star Wars Story, with the latter falling below the former for the first time since its Memorial Day Weekend debut. The tentpole releases grossed $3.4 million and $ million in their seventh and sixth weekends, respectively, bringing their domestic totals to $310.3 million and $ million in North America.

In ninth place, 20th Century Fox’s Sanju took in an estimated $2.5 million in its opening weekend on 356 screens, placing it unexpectedly in the Top 10 for the weekend. The biography of Bollywood star Sanjay Dutt debuted simultaneously in India, where it took in $21.6 million.

Rounding out the Top 10, Focus Features’ Won’t You Be My Neighbor? expanded wide and took in an estimated $2.29 million in 654 theaters, representing a per-screen average of $3,502. The acclaimed Mr. Rogers documentary has brought in a solid $7.4 million in four weeks, making it the second documentary to break out over the last couple of months after Magnolia’s RBG, which has brought in $11.5 million since opening in early May.

Limited Release:

The Neon documentary Three Identical Strangers grossed $163,023 on just five screens, giving it a very good per-screen average of $32,604 in its debut weekend. The entry in the “truth is stranger than fiction” category of docs has been acclaimed by critics and should expand wider in the coming weeks.

Boasting a 100% “Fresh” rating at Rotten Tomatoes, Bleecker Street’s Leave No Trace debuted with $216,161 in just nine theaters this weekend, giving it a healthy per-screen average of $24,018. Starring Ben Foster and Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie, the film came out of this year’s Sundance Film Festival and is the latest feature from writer-director Debra Granik, who helmed the Jennifer Lawrence breakthrough Winter’s Bone back in 2010.

Overseas Update:

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom grossed another $56.1 million internationally this weekend, bringing its overseas cume to $667.6 million and its global total to $932.4 million. Totals include $237 million in China, $46 million in Korea, another $46 million in the U.K. and Ireland and $24 million in Mexico.

Incredibles 2 grossed another $89.8 million overseas, bringing its international total to $207.1 million and its global cume to $646.8 million. It has now surpassed the worldwide gross of the first Incredibles, which took in $633 million back in 2004. Totals include $40.8 million in China, $30.1 million in Mexico, and $19.2 million in Australia. It still has a number of key markets yet to open, including the U.K. (July 13), Korea (July 19), and Japan (August 1).

The post Studio Weekend Estimates: ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Repeats with $60M; ‘Incredibles 2’ Takes $45.5M; ‘Sicario 2’ Exceeds Expectations with $19M appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.



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